AfD gets 44.5 percent in the election in Saxony-Anhalt - majorities unclear

The AfD has become by far the strongest force in the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt.

The SPD and the Greens make it into the state parliament.

Finding a majority in the Magdeburg state parliament is likely to be difficult.

The first projection for the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt is official.

As polls have already predicted, the AfD is by far the strongest force.

She got 44.5 percent of the second votes.

A doubling of percentage points compared to the state election in 2021.

At that time the party achieved 20.8 percent.

According to initial projections, the CDU was the second strongest force and achieved a result of 18.5 percent.

This means the party has halved its result compared to 2021.

The Left Party is also safe in the state parliament.

She probably achieved 9.5 percent of the second votes and could roughly maintain her result of the last state election of 11 percent.

According to initial projections, the SPD and the Greens are also above the five percent hurdle.

The Greens achieved 9 percent of the second votes (2021: 5.9), and the SPD is at 9 percent in initial projections (2021: 8.4).

The Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) is currently at 5 percent and has to worry about entering the state parliament.

Only when a large proportion of the votes have been counted will it be clear whether the party will enter the state parliament of Saxony-Anhalt for the first time.

The FDP will probably not enter the state parliament again.

According to the first projections, the party achieved a result of only 2 percent and is therefore well below the five percent hurdle (2021: 6.4).

State election in Saxony-Anhalt: Don't be afraid of the fascists Unclear majority conditions Even after the first projections it is clear: the current state government made up of CDU, SPD and FDP under Prime Minister Sven Schulze (CDU) will in all probability not be able to continue governing.

The future majority for a future state government in Saxony-Anhalt is currently completely unclear.

With the predicted entry of the SPD, Greens and BSW into the state parliament, a sole government by the AfD would not be mathematically possible.

If the BSW does not enter the state parliament, it will - as of now - probably not be enough for an AfD sole government.

Before the election, the CDU, Left, SPD and Greens ruled out working with the AfD in the state parliament.

Since the CDU continues to rule out a coalition with the Left Party, there is no possible party constellation for a majority of the seats in the state parliament based on the predicted results of the current projections.

The relationship between the CDU, the Greens, the SPD and the Left and the BSW in Saxony-Anhalt is also unclear.

Election in Saxony-Anhalt: AfD presents reactionary 100-day program Is the minority government coming?

A minority government would therefore be conceivable – similar to what already exists in Saxony and Thuringia.

For successful bills, the CDU, SPD and Greens would have to rely on votes from the Left Party and - depending on whether they enter the state parliament or not - from the BSW.

Or from the ranks of the AfD.

Prime Minister Sven Schulze said before the election that his party would “not become dependent on the Left or the AfD”.

But with the predicted distribution of seats in the state parliament, the CDU can only achieve a majority with votes from one of the two factions.

Similar to Thuringia and Saxony in 2024, it will likely take a long time until a new state government is sworn in.

After the elections at the beginning of September, cabinets were not elected in both federal states until more than three months later.

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