Berlin: The Left storms into the Red City Hall in front of the CDU

By Kommando 161

Deutsch (original) · Auto-translated to English

ARD/ZDF forecast (6 p.m.): Left 24.5-26% clearly ahead of CDU 20%, historic Left success.
AfD doubles to ~16% (2023: 9.1%), but remains excluded from any government formation.
SPD falls to 12% - worst Berlin result of the post-war period, investigations against top candidate Krach are an additional burden.
BSW is trembling about entry at ~5%, Greens at 15% possible kingmakers.

6:14 p.mTagesschau analysis: Left could appoint governing mayor for the first time, Eralp successful with housing/rent cap campaign. CDU government satisfaction historically low (only 20% satisfied).6:05 p.mARD forecast (infratest dimap): Left 24.5% · CDU 20% · AfD 16% · Greens 15% · SPD 12% · BSW 5% · FDP 2.5%.6:00 p.mPolling stations closed, first forecasts: ZDF sees the Left at 26%, ahead of the CDU at 20%, the Greens at 15.5%, the AfD at 13.5%.

■ Left
□ CDU
■ AfD
■ Greens
■ SPD

Classification:According to the 6 p.m. forecast (all figures provisional), the Left will achieve a historic success with Elif Eralp's rent cap campaign - the strongest force in Berlin for the first time, possibly with the chance of the executive chair in the Red City Hall. The CDU is losing massively after a period of government with record dissatisfaction (77% according to infratest dimap), the SPD is experiencing its worst post-war result. The AfD is doubling down, but remains excluded from all other parties - rent usury and housing shortages, not right-wing agitation, decided the election campaign. A Left-Green-SPD alliance would mathematically be the most obvious power option against the CDU.